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020 _a9781107664647
040 _cIIT Kanpur
041 _aeng
082 _a519.54
_bM454s
100 _aMayo, Deborah G.
245 _aStatistical inference as severe testing
_bhow to get beyond the statistics wars
_cDeborah G. Mayo
260 _bCambridge University Press
_c2018
_aCambridge
300 _axvi, 486p
520 _aMounting failures of replication in social and biological sciences give a new urgency to critically appraising proposed reforms. This book pulls back the cover on disagreements between experts charged with restoring integrity to science. It denies two pervasive views of the role of probability in inference: to assign degrees of belief, and to control error rates in a long run. If statistical consumers are unaware of assumptions behind rival evidence reforms, they can't scrutinize the consequences that affect them (in personalized medicine, psychology, etc.). The book sets sail with a simple tool: if little has been done to rule out flaws in inferring a claim, then it has not passed a severe test. Many methods advocated by data experts do not stand up to severe scrutiny and are in tension with successful strategies for blocking or accounting for cherry picking and selective reporting. Through a series of excursions and exhibits, the philosophy and history of inductive inference come alive. Philosophical tools are put to work to solve problems about science and pseudoscience, induction and falsification.
650 _aDeviation (Mathematics)
650 _aMathematical statistics
650 _aError analysis (Mathematics)
650 _aFallacies (Logic)
650 _aInference
942 _cBK
999 _c565079
_d565079