000 05674nam a22004695i 4500
001 978-0-387-35439-2
003 DE-He213
005 20161121231026.0
007 cr nn 008mamaa
008 100301s2006 xxu| s |||| 0|eng d
020 _a9780387354392
_9978-0-387-35439-2
024 7 _a10.1007/0-387-35439-5
_2doi
050 4 _aHB139-141
072 7 _aKCH
_2bicssc
072 7 _aBUS021000
_2bisacsh
082 0 4 _a330.015195
_223
100 1 _aDagum, Estela Bee.
_eauthor.
245 1 0 _aBenchmarking, Temporal Distribution, and Reconciliation Methods for Time Series
_h[electronic resource] /
_cby Estela Bee Dagum, Pierre A. Cholette.
264 1 _aNew York, NY :
_bSpringer New York,
_c2006.
300 _aXIV, 410 p. 101 illus.
_bonline resource.
336 _atext
_btxt
_2rdacontent
337 _acomputer
_bc
_2rdamedia
338 _aonline resource
_bcr
_2rdacarrier
347 _atext file
_bPDF
_2rda
490 1 _aLecture Notes in Statistics,
_x0930-0325 ;
_v186
505 0 _aThe Components of Time Series -- The Cholette-Dagum Regression-Based Benchmarking Method — The Additive Model -- Covariance Matrices for Benchmarking and Reconciliation Methods -- The Cholette-Dagum Regression-Based Benchmarking Method - The Multiplicative Model -- The Denton Method and its Variants -- Temporal Distribution, Interpolation and Extrapolation -- Signal Extraction and Benchmarking -- Calendarization -- A Unified Regression-Based Framework for Signal Extraction, Benchmarking and Interpolation -- Reconciliation and Balancing Systems of Time Series -- Reconciling One-Way Classified Systems of Time Series -- Reconciling the Marginal Totals of Two-Way Classified Systems of Series -- Reconciling Two-Way Classifed Systems of Series.
520 _aIn modern economies, time series play a crucial role at all levels of activity. They are used by decision makers to plan for a better future, by governments to promote prosperity, by central banks to control inflation, by unions to bargain for higher wages, by hospital, school boards, manufacturers, builders, transportation companies, and by consumers in general. A common misconception is that time series data originate from the direct and straightforward compilations of survey data, censuses, and administrative records. On the contrary, before publication time series are subject to statistical adjustments intended to facilitate analysis, increase efficiency, reduce bias, replace missing values, correct errors, and satisfy cross-sectional additivity constraints. Some of the most common adjustments are benchmarking, interpolation, temporal distribution, calendarization, and reconciliation. This book discusses the statistical methods most often applied for such adjustments, ranging from ad hoc procedures to regression-based models. The latter are emphasized, because of their clarity, ease of application, and superior results. Each topic is illustrated with many real case examples. In order to facilitate understanding of their properties and limitations of the methods discussed, a real data example, the Canada Total Retail Trade Series, is followed throughout the book. This book brings together the scattered literature on these topics and presents them using a consistent notation and a unifying view. The book will promote better procedures by large producers of time series, e.g. statistical agencies and central banks. Furthermore, knowing what adjustments are made to the data and what technique is used and how they affect the trend, the business cycles and seasonality of the series, will enable users to perform better modeling, prediction, analysis and planning. This book will prove useful to graduate students and final year undergraduate students of time series and econometrics, as well as researchers and practitioners in government institutions and business. Estela Bee Dagum is Professor at the Faculty of Statistical Science of the University of Bologna, Italy, and former Director of the Time Series Research and Analysis division of Statistics Canada, Ottawa, Canada. Dr. Dagum was awarded an Honorary Doctoral Degree from the University of Naples "Parthenope", is a Fellow of the American Statistical Association (ASA) and Honorary Fellow of the International Institute of Forecasters (IIF), the first recipient of the ASA Julius Shiskin Award, the IIF Crystal Globe Award, Elected Member of the International Statistical Institute (ISI), Elected Member of the Academy of Science of the Institute of Bologna, and former President of the Interamerican Statistical Institute (IASI) and the International Institute of Forecasters. Dr. Dagum is the author of the X11-ARIMA seasonal adjustment method widely applied by statistical agencies and central banks. Pierre A. Cholette is a Senior Methodologist of the Time Series Research Centre of the Business Survey Methodology Division at Statistics Canada, Ottawa, Canada. He is the author of BENCH, a benchmarking software widely applied by statistical agencies, Central Banks and other government institutions.
650 0 _aStatistics.
650 0 _aEconometrics.
650 1 4 _aEconomics.
650 2 4 _aEconometrics.
650 2 4 _aStatistics for Business/Economics/Mathematical Finance/Insurance.
650 2 4 _aStatistical Theory and Methods.
700 1 _aCholette, Pierre A.
_eauthor.
710 2 _aSpringerLink (Online service)
773 0 _tSpringer eBooks
776 0 8 _iPrinted edition:
_z9780387311029
830 0 _aLecture Notes in Statistics,
_x0930-0325 ;
_v186
856 4 0 _uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/0-387-35439-5
912 _aZDB-2-SMA
950 _aMathematics and Statistics (Springer-11649)
999 _c507478
_d507478